{"id":677,"date":"2023-07-15T10:11:21","date_gmt":"2023-07-15T10:11:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/index.php\/2023\/07\/15\/facts-about-the-arctic-in-july-2023\/"},"modified":"2025-07-14T01:03:36","modified_gmt":"2025-07-13T23:03:36","slug":"facts-about-the-arctic-in-july-2023","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/index.php\/2023\/07\/15\/facts-about-the-arctic-in-july-2023\/","title":{"rendered":"Facts About the Arctic in July 2023"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<p>After briefly being near the bottom of the historical range at the beginning of the month,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/sites.google.com\/view\/sea-ice\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">AWI\u2019s high resolution AMSR2 area<\/a>\u00a0metric is now back near the top of that range:<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/AWI-Arctic-Area-2023-06-14.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-23520\" src=\"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/AWI-Arctic-Area-2023-06-14.png\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 888px) 100vw, 888px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/AWI-Arctic-Area-2023-06-14.png 888w, https:\/\/greatwhitecon.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/AWI-Arctic-Area-2023-06-14-300x217.png 300w, https:\/\/greatwhitecon.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/AWI-Arctic-Area-2023-06-14-768x554.png 768w\" alt=\"\" width=\"888\" height=\"641\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n<p>However, although it\u2019s not visible on the area graph extent has recently taken a bit of a tumble:<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/AWI-Arctic-Extent-2023-07-14.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-23519\" src=\"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/AWI-Arctic-Extent-2023-07-14.png\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 888px) 100vw, 888px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/AWI-Arctic-Extent-2023-07-14.png 888w, https:\/\/greatwhitecon.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/AWI-Arctic-Extent-2023-07-14-300x217.png 300w, https:\/\/greatwhitecon.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/AWI-Arctic-Extent-2023-07-14-768x554.png 768w\" alt=\"\" width=\"888\" height=\"641\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n<p>Here\u2019s an animation showing the motion of sea ice in the Arctic over the last month:<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-video\"><video src=\"https:\/\/greatwhitecon.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/AMSR2_Central_Arctic_SIC-LEADS-1.webm\" controls=\"controls\" width=\"300\" height=\"150\"><\/video><\/figure>\n<p>The first\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.arcus.org\/sipn\/sea-ice-outlook\/2023\/june\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Sea Ice Outlook<\/a>\u00a0of 2023 has been published by the Sea Ice Prediction Network, and the \u201cdynamic models\u201d seem to be consistently predicting a lower September 2023 extent than the \u201cstatistical\u201d methods:<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/greatwhitecon.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/SIPN_2023_june.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-23521\" src=\"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/SIPN_2023_june-1024x950-1.png\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/SIPN_2023_june-1024x950-1.png 1024w, https:\/\/greatwhitecon.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/SIPN_2023_june-300x278.png 300w, https:\/\/greatwhitecon.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/SIPN_2023_june-768x712.png 768w, https:\/\/greatwhitecon.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/SIPN_2023_june.png 1200w\" alt=\"\" width=\"1024\" height=\"950\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote\"><p>This year\u2019s median forecasted value for pan-Arctic September sea-ice extent is 4.54 million square kilometers with an interquartile ranges of 4.34 to 4.90 million square kilometers. This is nearly the same as last year\u2019s June median forecast for September, but higher than the three previous years (2019\u20132021). The lowest sea-ice extent forecast is 2.95 million square kilometers, from UC Louvain, which would be a new record low for the satellite period (1979-present); the highest sea-ice extent forecast is 5.60 million square kilometers, from the HEU Group, which would be the highest September extent since 2006. Only one Outlook forecasts a new record minimum September extent, though two others (Met Office, NCEP-EMC) forecast an extent that is essentially the same as the record low September (3.57 million square kilometers).<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Watch this space!<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>After briefly being near the bottom of the historical range at the beginning of the month,\u00a0AWI\u2019s high resolution AMSR2 area\u00a0metric is now back near the top of that range.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":678,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"rop_custom_images_group":[],"rop_custom_messages_group":[],"rop_publish_now":"initial","rop_publish_now_accounts":[],"rop_publish_now_history":[],"rop_publish_now_status":"pending","_themeisle_gutenberg_block_has_review":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-677","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/677","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=677"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/677\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3265,"href":"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/677\/revisions\/3265"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/678"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=677"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=677"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=677"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}