{"id":3281,"date":"2025-07-15T00:18:00","date_gmt":"2025-07-14T22:18:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/?p=3281"},"modified":"2025-08-03T20:46:20","modified_gmt":"2025-08-03T18:46:20","slug":"arctic-truth-chinas-role-revisited-and-clarified","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/index.php\/2025\/07\/15\/arctic-truth-chinas-role-revisited-and-clarified\/","title":{"rendered":"Arctic Truth: China\u2019s Role Revisited and Clarified"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>China\u2019s activities in the Arctic in recent years have been \u201chighly exaggerated\u201d due to \u201calarmist language in terms of scale, scope and risk,\u201d according to research by Harvard University.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cIt is apparent that most of this anxiety is about what <em>might be<\/em>, not what has actually happened,\u201d researchers for the Belfer Center for science and international affairs at the John F. Kennedy School of Government, Harvard\u2019s school of public policy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Their paper, titled <em>Cutting Through Narratives on Chinese Arctic Investments<\/em>, was&nbsp;published in June. It was written by Arctic researchers Anders Christoffer Edstr\u00f8m from Norway, Gu\u00f0bj\u00f6rg R\u00edkey Th. Hauksd\u00f3ttir from Iceland, and Whitney Lackenbauer of Trent University in Peterborough, Ont.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>For years, China\u2019s Arctic ambitions have faced international scrutiny.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In 2013, China was granted observer status at the Arctic Council, an intergovernmental organization of all eight Arctic nations: Canada, the United States, Russia, Norway, Denmark, Finland, Iceland and Sweden.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A few years later, in 2018, Beijing&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/nunatsiaq.com\/stories\/article\/65674china_unveils_its_arctic_ambitions_declaring_its_a_near_arctic_state\/\">announced<\/a>&nbsp;its Polar Silk Road strategy. It envisioned China\u2019s deeper involvement in Arctic governance along with mineral and scientific exploration of the region.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Since then, China has proclaimed itself a \u201cnear-Arctic state\u201d \u2014 despite not having any territory in the polar areas \u2014 and the country\u2019s ambassador to Canada, Wang Di, <a href=\"https:\/\/nunatsiaq.com\/stories\/article\/china-wants-to-tap-nunavut-minerals-ambassador\/\">told<\/a> Nunatsiaq News last year that Arctic affairs should be a concern of a \u201cglobal village.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Since 2003, China is estimated to have invested more than $90 billion above the Arctic Circle, largely in energy and mineral sectors, according to the U.S. House of Representatives committee on foreign affairs estimates in 2022.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>However, the Harvard researchers say that figure is \u201cinflated\u201d with unsuccessful investments and projects proposed but not implemented.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cOur research finds that these numbers are highly exaggerated and often mobilized to support a narrative in which China is successfully \u2018buying up\u2019 the Arctic region,\u201d the paper said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Of 57 Chinese investment projects that researchers list, 18 are active and only one is located in Canada. A majority of the projects have been either cancelled or are in question.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Of the eight Nordic member nations, only Russia has allowed a significant Chinese presence in its Arctic.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"793\" src=\"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Screenshot-2025-07-09-at-1.28.12-PM-1024x793.png\" alt=\"Out of 57 Chinese investment projects in the Arctic, 18 are active with only one of them located in Canada. (Photo courtesy of Harvard Kennedy School)\" class=\"wp-image-3282\" srcset=\"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Screenshot-2025-07-09-at-1.28.12-PM-1024x793.png 1024w, https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Screenshot-2025-07-09-at-1.28.12-PM-300x232.png 300w, https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Screenshot-2025-07-09-at-1.28.12-PM-768x594.png 768w, https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Screenshot-2025-07-09-at-1.28.12-PM-110x85.png 110w, https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Screenshot-2025-07-09-at-1.28.12-PM.png 1274w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Out of 57 Chinese investment projects in the Arctic, 18 are active with only one of them located in Canada. (Photo courtesy of Harvard Kennedy School)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>In 2022, the two countries signed a joint statement proclaiming a relationship with \u201cno limits\u201d including joint oversight of traffic along the Northern Sea Route, 5,600-kilometre shipping passage along Russia\u2019s Arctic coast line.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>As well, the countries agreed on joint naval and coast guard exercises in the Bering Sea, and joint air patrols near the coast of Alaska.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But when it comes to Canada and the other six \u201clike-minded\u201d Arctic states, nearly all Chinese investment in the region has failed or stalled.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>China\u2019s footprint in Canada\u2019s North only includes a Nunavik nickel mine owned by Jien Canada Mining Ltd. and two mineral development projects in the Yukon and the N.W.T. that have been \u201cin stasis for many years.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cChina\u2019s investment record in the Canadian North is not strong, and Chinese companies have also seen significant failures,\u201d the researchers said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>One of those failures was in 2020, when Chinese state-owned Shandong Gold Mining Co.&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/nunatsiaq.com\/stories\/article\/chinese-gold-miner-hopes-to-buy-western-nunavut-gold-mine\/\">wanted to buy<\/a>&nbsp;the Hope Bay gold mine complex, 150 kilometres southwest of Cambridge Bay, for $207.4 million.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Canadian government <a href=\"https:\/\/nunatsiaq.com\/stories\/article\/feds-reject-sale-of-tmac-resources-to-chinas-shandong-gold\/\">rejected that deal<\/a> after a national security review.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Harvard researchers say that identifying investments that pose a security risk is a source of \u201cdebate and division.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cArctic states should continue to balance considerations of national interest connected to potential risk, potential economic benefits and societal support before deciding to allow, limit, or reject investments,\u201d they wrote.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>China\u2019s activities in the Arctic in recent years have been \u201chighly exaggerated\u201d due to \u201calarmist language in terms of scale, scope and risk,\u201d according to research by Harvard University.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":3282,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"rop_custom_images_group":[],"rop_custom_messages_group":[],"rop_publish_now":"yes","rop_publish_now_accounts":[],"rop_publish_now_history":[],"rop_publish_now_status":"pending","_themeisle_gutenberg_block_has_review":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3281","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3281","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3281"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3281\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3338,"href":"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3281\/revisions\/3338"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/3282"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3281"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3281"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3281"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}