{"id":3085,"date":"2025-06-04T03:22:00","date_gmt":"2025-06-04T01:22:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/?p=3085"},"modified":"2025-06-01T21:29:23","modified_gmt":"2025-06-01T19:29:23","slug":"arctic-predicted-to-warm-more-than-three-times-faster-than-global-average-wmo-report","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/index.php\/2025\/06\/04\/arctic-predicted-to-warm-more-than-three-times-faster-than-global-average-wmo-report\/","title":{"rendered":"Arctic predicted to warm more than three times faster than global average: WMO report"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>A new report from the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) released on Wednesday says the Arctic is set to warm more than three and a half times faster than the global average over the next five years, just one of the stark predictions covering the period 2025 to 2029.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The report predicts average annual temperatures will be between 1.2 C and 1.9 C higher than the baseline period of 1850-1900.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But when it comes to the Arctic, temperatures in the region are expected to go beyond that and are predicted to rise 2.4 C above&nbsp;the most recent 30-year baseline period of 1991-2020\u2014something that would far exceed the global average.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Sea ice loss and global impacts\u00a0<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Rapidly warming Arctic temperatures are having profound effects on global weather patterns and ecosystems, contributing significantly to the loss of sea ice.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"686\" src=\"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/428102-1024x686.webp\" alt=\"The Schei glacier at Nordvest-Spitsbergen National Park, Svalbard. Photo: Thomas Nilsen\" class=\"wp-image-3086\" srcset=\"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/428102-1024x686.webp 1024w, https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/428102-300x201.webp 300w, https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/428102-768x515.webp 768w, https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/428102-1536x1029.webp 1536w, https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/428102-2048x1372.webp 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"> The Schei glacier at Nordvest-Spitsbergen National Park, Svalbard. Photo: Thomas Nilsen <\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n<p>Sea ice in key regions\u2014including the Barents Sea, Bering Sea, and Sea of Okhotsk\u2014is expected to continue shrinking between 2025 and 2029, the WMO said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"960\" height=\"548\" src=\"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/430691.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-3088\" title=\"Arctic predicted to warm more than three times faster than global average: WMO report\" srcset=\"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/430691.jpg 960w, https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/430691-300x171.jpg 300w, https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/430691-768x438.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 960px) 100vw, 960px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cFor Arctic sea ice in September (at its minimum extent) from 2025 to 2029, large reductions are predicted in all regions that typically experience sea ice at this time of year,\u201d the report stated.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cThe ability to predict anomalies at the sea-ice edge is highly accurate, so there is strong confidence in these projected reductions.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>However, Canada\u2019s Arctic Archipelago is an exception, where there is less certainty about the changes over the next five years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Quick Facts: WMO Report (2025-2029)<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Arctic warming: set to warm 3.5 times faster than the global average<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Temperature rise:\u00a0average annual Arctic temperatures expected to increase above 1991-2020 baseline.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Sea ice decline:\u00a0sea ice reductions predicted for key regions, including the Barents Sea, Bering Sea, and Sea of Okhotsk<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Global temperature:\u00a0an 86 per cent chance that one year between 2025-2029 will exceed the 1.5 C threshold set by the Paris Agreement.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Warmer, wetter\u00a0<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The WMO said precipitation patterns are also expected to shift, with wetter conditions predicted in several regions of the world include northern Europe, Alaska and northern Siberia.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cWe have just experienced the ten warmest years on record,\u201d&nbsp;WMO&nbsp;Deputy Secretary-General Ko Barrett said in a statement.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cUnfortunately, this&nbsp;WMO&nbsp;report provides no sign of respite over the coming years, and this means that there will be a growing negative impact on our economies, our daily lives, our ecosystems and our planet.\u201d&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"960\" height=\"644\" src=\"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/125415.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-3087\" title=\"Landslide in thawing permafrost in the mountainside next to Longyearbyen, the main settlement at Svalbard.\" srcset=\"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/125415.jpg 960w, https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/125415-300x201.jpg 300w, https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/125415-768x515.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 960px) 100vw, 960px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Landslide in thawing permafrost in the mountainside next to Longyearbyen, the main settlement at Svalbard.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>The Paris Agreement sought to limit global temperature rise to 1.5 C., but the WMO report suggests that that limit is likely to be exceeded within the next few years, with an 86 per cent chance that one year between 2025 and 2029 will exceed the temperature.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The WMO said&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/wmo.int\/files\/wmo-global-annual-decadal-climate-update-2025-2029\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">the report&nbsp;s<\/a>hould serve as a wake up call for the international community in advance of the COP30 conference in Brazil this November.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cContinued climate monitoring and prediction is essential to provide decision-makers with science-based tools and information to help us adapt,\u201d Barrett said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>This story is posted on the Barents Observer as part of\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.rcinet.ca\/eye-on-the-arctic\/\">Eye on the Arctic<\/a>, a collaborative partnership between public and private circumpolar media organisations.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Rapidly warming Arctic temperatures are having profound effects on global weather patterns and ecosystems, contributing significantly to the loss of sea ice.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":3086,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"rop_custom_images_group":[],"rop_custom_messages_group":[],"rop_publish_now":"initial","rop_publish_now_accounts":[],"rop_publish_now_history":[],"rop_publish_now_status":"pending","_themeisle_gutenberg_block_has_review":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3085","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3085","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3085"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3085\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3089,"href":"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3085\/revisions\/3089"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/3086"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3085"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3085"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3085"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}