{"id":3008,"date":"2025-05-24T15:02:15","date_gmt":"2025-05-24T13:02:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/index.php\/2025\/05\/24\/the-northwest-passage-in-2025\/"},"modified":"2025-05-25T21:19:41","modified_gmt":"2025-05-25T19:19:41","slug":"the-northwest-passage-in-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/index.php\/2025\/05\/24\/the-northwest-passage-in-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"The Northwest Passage in 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<p>I\u2019m opening the 2025 Northwest Passage thread earlier than usual, because of some news you can read if you scroll down. However, let\u2019s first of all get our bearings with the help of this map of the area:<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/CAA-Map.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-9826\" src=\"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/CAA-Map.png\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 726px) 100vw, 726px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/CAA-Map.png 726w, https:\/\/greatwhitecon.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/CAA-Map-300x155.png 300w\" alt=\"\" width=\"726\" height=\"376\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n<p>and another map detailing the routes through Canadian Arctic Archipelago that have previously been successfully traversed:<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/greatwhitecon.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/08\/NWP-Routes.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-4797\" src=\"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/NWP-Routes-1024x534-1.jpg\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/NWP-Routes-1024x534-1.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/greatwhitecon.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/08\/NWP-Routes-300x156.jpg 300w, https:\/\/greatwhitecon.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/08\/NWP-Routes-768x400.jpg 768w, https:\/\/greatwhitecon.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/08\/NWP-Routes.jpg 1145w\" alt=\"\" width=\"1024\" height=\"534\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n<p>The news I was referring to is that at lunchtime today <a href=\"https:\/\/ellainthearctic.co.uk\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Ella Hibbert<\/a> is setting off in her yacht Yeva from Haslar Marina near Portsmouth in southern England for a rather unusual voyage through the Northwest Passage this summer. Here is Ella\u2019s current route plan:<\/p>\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/greatwhitecon.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/EITA-Arctic_Ocean_route-scaled-1.webp\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-34660\" src=\"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/EITA-Arctic_Ocean_route-scaled-1-1024x1024-1.webp\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/EITA-Arctic_Ocean_route-scaled-1-1024x1024-1.webp 1024w, https:\/\/greatwhitecon.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/EITA-Arctic_Ocean_route-scaled-1-300x300.webp 300w, https:\/\/greatwhitecon.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/EITA-Arctic_Ocean_route-scaled-1-150x150.webp 150w, https:\/\/greatwhitecon.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/EITA-Arctic_Ocean_route-scaled-1-768x769.webp 768w, https:\/\/greatwhitecon.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/EITA-Arctic_Ocean_route-scaled-1-1536x1536.webp 1536w, https:\/\/greatwhitecon.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/EITA-Arctic_Ocean_route-scaled-1-2046x2048.webp 2046w\" alt=\"\" width=\"1024\" height=\"1024\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<p>You will note some unusual features. Apparently Ella is intent on taking Route 1 into the Beaufort Sea via McClure Strait. After that she is not heading for the Bering Strait, but is instead taking the route less travelled back to Haslar via the Northern Sea Route. Perhaps even more surprising in this day and age is that Ella has <a href=\"https:\/\/nsr.rosatom.ru\/en\/consideration-of-applications\/permissions\/?ComponentFilter_pf%5BVESSEL_NAME%5D=yeva\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">received permission<\/a> to sail through Russian waters without an ice pilot. She is aiming to complete an entire circumnavigation of the Arctic in a single summer single handed! As Ella puts it, this is \u201cA voyage that should not be possible\u201d:<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\"><p>Ella is hoping to overcome terrifying challenges including icebergs, freezing water and polar bears.<\/p>\n<p>Her journey \u2013 which has only recently become possible due to melting polar ice caps \u2013 aims to showcase the devastating environmental impact of sea ice decline, both in the Arctic and across the world.<\/p>\n<p>Ella\u2019s voyage also aims to support two charities working tirelessly to protect the Arctic: Polar Bears International and the Ocean Conservancy.<\/p>\n<p>At the end of her voyage, Ella will auction her ship Yeva with proceeds to go to these two charities.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Here is Ella\u2019s interview with BBC Environment Correspondent Jonah Fisher on BBC Breakfast yesterday morning<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Ella featured on BBC Breakfast \u2013 23 May 2025\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/tsHSPxZWYfY?feature=oembed\" width=\"604\" height=\"340\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<\/figure>\n<p><a name=\"Solent\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p>P.S. Here\u2019s Yeva\u2019s tracking map at 12:30 UTC:<\/p>\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Yeva-2025-05-24_13-30.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-34668\" src=\"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Yeva-2025-05-24_13-30.png\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 854px) 100vw, 854px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Yeva-2025-05-24_13-30.png 854w, https:\/\/greatwhitecon.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Yeva-2025-05-24_13-30-300x243.png 300w, https:\/\/greatwhitecon.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Yeva-2025-05-24_13-30-768x622.png 768w\" alt=\"\" width=\"854\" height=\"692\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<p>But what are Ella\u2019s chances of successfully completing her arduous voyage? To get a feel for what might happen in the icy waters of the Canadian Arctic Archipelago during the coming melting season let\u2019s take a look at the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.canada.ca\/en\/environment-climate-change\/services\/ice-forecasts-observations\/latest-conditions.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Canadian Ice Service<\/a>\u2018s \u201cstage of development\u201d charts. Here\u2019s the most recent one, from May 19th:<\/p>\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/greatwhitecon.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/West-SoD-20250519.gif\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-34657\" src=\"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/West-SoD-20250519-1024x901-1.gif\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/West-SoD-20250519-1024x901-1.gif 1024w, https:\/\/greatwhitecon.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/West-SoD-20250519-300x264.gif 300w, https:\/\/greatwhitecon.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/West-SoD-20250519-768x676.gif 768w, https:\/\/greatwhitecon.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/West-SoD-20250519-1536x1351.gif 1536w\" alt=\"\" width=\"1024\" height=\"901\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<p>All of the assorted routes along the Northwest Passage are currently clear of multi-year ice except for Route 1 through McClure Strait, where there is currently a patch of open water.<\/p>\n<p>Next let\u2019s also try and check the thickness of the ice along those routes. Here is the latest available \u201creanalysed\u201d merged CryoSat-2\/SMOS thickness map for the Canadian Arctic Archipelago :<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/CS2-SMOS-NWP-thickness_2025-04-08.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-34658\" src=\"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/CS2-SMOS-NWP-thickness_2025-04-08.png\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 880px) 100vw, 880px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/CS2-SMOS-NWP-thickness_2025-04-08.png 880w, https:\/\/greatwhitecon.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/CS2-SMOS-NWP-thickness_2025-04-08-300x196.png 300w, https:\/\/greatwhitecon.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/CS2-SMOS-NWP-thickness_2025-04-08-768x503.png 768w\" alt=\"\" width=\"880\" height=\"576\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n<p>There is no thick ice along any of the accepted routes, although\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cruisemapper.com\/?imo=9846249\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Le Commandant Charcot<\/a>\u00a0may come across some if he explores Byam Martin Channel again this summer.<\/p>\n<p>In addition the snow has been melting along the valley of the Mackenzie River. The resulting increased flow at the mouth of the delta has just begun to flood the fast ice, which has started to break up:<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/go.nasa.gov\/4kxw2QD\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-34659\" src=\"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Mackenzie-Terra-721-2025-05-19-1024x727-1.jpg\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Mackenzie-Terra-721-2025-05-19-1024x727-1.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/greatwhitecon.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Mackenzie-Terra-721-2025-05-19-300x213.jpg 300w, https:\/\/greatwhitecon.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Mackenzie-Terra-721-2025-05-19-768x545.jpg 768w, https:\/\/greatwhitecon.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Mackenzie-Terra-721-2025-05-19.jpg 1270w\" alt=\"\" width=\"1024\" height=\"727\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><em>\u201cFalse colour\u201d image of the Mackenzie Delta on\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/go.nasa.gov\/4kxw2QD\">May 19th<\/a><\/em> <em>from the MODIS instrument on the Terra satellite<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>The signs are that the Northwest Passage will open earlier than \u201cnormal\u201d this year, but as always everything depends on the forthcoming summer weather.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I\u2019m opening the 2025 Northwest Passage thread earlier than usual, because of some news you can read if you scroll down.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":3009,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"rop_custom_images_group":[],"rop_custom_messages_group":[],"rop_publish_now":"initial","rop_publish_now_accounts":[],"rop_publish_now_history":[],"rop_publish_now_status":"pending","_themeisle_gutenberg_block_has_review":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3008","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3008","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3008"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3008\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3020,"href":"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3008\/revisions\/3020"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/3009"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3008"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3008"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3008"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}