{"id":2964,"date":"2025-05-08T12:02:20","date_gmt":"2025-05-08T10:02:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/index.php\/2025\/05\/08\/the-rebound-in-arctic-sea-ice-2025-edition\/"},"modified":"2025-05-12T15:41:08","modified_gmt":"2025-05-12T13:41:08","slug":"the-rebound-in-arctic-sea-ice-2025-edition","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/index.php\/2025\/05\/08\/the-rebound-in-arctic-sea-ice-2025-edition\/","title":{"rendered":"The \u201cRebound\u201d in Arctic Sea Ice \u2013 2025 Edition"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<p>Renowned climate scientist <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Roger_A._Pielke_Jr.\">Roger Pielke Jr.<\/a> has just published an interesting paper in the highly respected academic journal the New York Post. It is entitled:<\/p>\n<p>\u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/archive.is\/zgE4S\">Surprise! Ice is rebounding at BOTH poles \u2014 climate is more complex than we know<\/a>\u201c<\/p>\n<p>According to Roger\u2019s op-ed:<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\"><p>When it comes to climate change, to invoke one of Al Gore\u2019s favorite sayings, the biggest challenge is not what we don\u2019t know, but what we know for sure but just isn\u2019t so.<\/p>\n<p>Two new studies show that the Earth\u2019s climate is far more complex than often acknowledged, reminding us of the importance of pragmatic energy and climate policies.<\/p>\n<p>One of them, led by researchers at China\u2019s Tongji University, finds that after years of ice sheet decline, Antarctica has seen a \u201csurprising shift\u201d:\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/link.springer.com\/article\/10.1007\/s11430-024-1517-1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">a record-breaking\u00a0<em>accumulation<\/em>\u00a0of ice<\/a>\u2026<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Roger then heads for the far north, where he assures his learned readers that:<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\"><p>A second new paper, a preprint now going through peer review, finds a similar change at the opposite end of the planet.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe loss of Arctic sea ice cover has undergone a pronounced slowdown over the past two decades, across all months of the year,\u201d the paper\u2019s US and UK authors write.<\/p>\n<p>They suggest that the \u201cpause\u201d in Arctic sea ice decline could persist for several more decades.<\/p>\n<p>Together, the two studies remind us that the global climate system remains unpredictable, defying simplistic expectations that change moves only in one direction.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>I feel compelled to point out to Roger that apart from the fact that they both include the word \u201cice\u201d, Arctic sea ice and the Antarctic ice sheet are approximately as similar as chalk and cheese.<\/p>\n<p>Roger neglects to provide NY Post readers with a reference or helpful link to the preprint he is referring to. However luckily for my own reader(s) <a href=\"https:\/\/greatwhitecon.info\/2025\/05\/facts-about-the-arctic-in-may-2025\/#comment-795756\">I have already done so<\/a>. Hence I am able to quote the authors\u2019 own words, which read as follows:<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\"><p><em>According to these climate model simulations, this pause in the loss of Arctic sea ice could plausibly continue for the next 5-10 years.<\/em><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>I have already emailed the authors of the preprint asking them to justify their use of the term \u201cpause\u201d. I\u2019ll let you know what they have to say on the matter in due course. In the meantime I suggest that Dr. Pielke consults <a href=\"https:\/\/www.dictionary.com\/browse\/rebound\">an English dictionary<\/a>. In pseudo code:<\/p>\n<p><code><strong>\"pause\" != \"rebound\"<\/strong><\/code><\/p>\n<p>I also suggest that he directs Post readers to more <a href=\"https:\/\/greatwhitecon.info\/2025\/03\/the-2025-maximum-arctic-sea-ice-extent\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">recent activity<\/a> of yours truly\u2019s virtual pen:<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\"><p><em>This year\u2019s maximum extent is 1.31 million square kilometers below the 1981 to 2010 average maximum of 15.64 million square kilometers and 80,000 square kilometers below the previous lowest maximum that occurred on March 7, 2017<\/em>:<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/greatwhitecon.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/JAXA-Extent-2025-03-27.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-34553\" src=\"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/JAXA-Extent-2025-03-27-1024x467-1.png\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/JAXA-Extent-2025-03-27-1024x467-1.png 1024w, https:\/\/greatwhitecon.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/JAXA-Extent-2025-03-27-300x137.png 300w, https:\/\/greatwhitecon.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/JAXA-Extent-2025-03-27-768x350.png 768w, https:\/\/greatwhitecon.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/JAXA-Extent-2025-03-27.png 1116w\" alt=\"\" width=\"1024\" height=\"467\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n<p>Perhaps he also wouldn\u2019t mind asking the Post\u2019s online editor(s) to reveal this explanatory video to their viewers?<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-4-3 wp-has-aspect-ratio\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"The &quot;Fast Transition&quot; - Arctic Sea Ice Age - March 2000 to March 2013\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/UAk_7GlbEXY?feature=oembed\" width=\"604\" height=\"453\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<\/figure>\n<p>Q.E.D?<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Renowned climate scientist Roger Pielke Jr. has just published an interesting paper in the highly respected academic journal the New York Post.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":2965,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"rop_custom_images_group":[],"rop_custom_messages_group":[],"rop_publish_now":"initial","rop_publish_now_accounts":[],"rop_publish_now_history":[],"rop_publish_now_status":"pending","_themeisle_gutenberg_block_has_review":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2964","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-climate"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2964","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2964"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2964\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2978,"href":"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2964\/revisions\/2978"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2965"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2964"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2964"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arcticwatch.info\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2964"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}